The Value of LOPA (and other quantitative methods) versus HAZOP (and other qualitative methods)
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I like LOPA as well as the next person; I’m one of the two co-originators as you likely know. But all of the quantitative methods use “statistical” values (but not as statistical as most think) that have in fact been “voted” upon by “experts”, so you can either let LOPA or QRA analyst use factors voted on by others or …
Read MoreBenefits of Safety Instrumented System (SIS) Standards
The main benefit to a business (set aside any “government regulator” issues for now, since that should not be very important) in implementing SIS standards is the consistency in understanding the safeguard level for an instrumented safety system. But, there are disadvantages to following “only” IEC 61508/61511. One disadvantage is that the PFDavg calculated for a SIF of a given …
Read MoreSeparate Analysis for SIL are NOT Needed; and Overuse of LOPA
Since I’m one of the two originators of LOPA in 1995 and one of the two primary authors of the CCPS books on LOPA (2001 and 2012), I (and many others) believe we are doing Too Many analysis. A well-structured and well led PHA team does 95% of the risk analysis and 99% of the risk identification. LOPA is only …
Read MoreDouble-Jeopardy in HAZOP and What-If
Double-jeopardy is NOT a discussion of (or failure of) multiple layers of protection. Nearly every scenario should have multiple layers of protection against the ultimate (unmitigated) consequence. Double jeopardy is also NOT a deviation combined with failure of a safeguard that then “lies in wait.” Double jeopardy is the occurrence of two deviations or two initiating events at the same …
Read MoreDeveloping Trouble-Shooting Guides for Operations department from HAZOP tables
Trouble-Shooting guides is the term many folks use to for the list of steps and decisions necessary to tale when a deviation from the normal opertion occurs. It is what an operator does to prevent a deviation from leading to an emergency shutdown or worse. (Trouble-Shooting guides are significant extensions of waht some call Operating Limits Tables.) The standard way …
Read MoreThe Four Question Risk Assessment (replacement for LOPA, etc.); and the Two Question Approach
Many (perhaps even most) EPCs and Owner companies do not really understand best practices related to risk analysis and independent protection layers (IPLs). This is unfortunate. This lack leads to a lot of wasted resources. Also, many owner companies do not implement the management systems and discipline needed to maintain IPLs once identify. It is Far more important to properly …
Read MoreSIL Evaluation in HAZOP? (Easy) LOPA needed for SIL determination? (No)
“Are You conducting SIL assessment session along with HAZOP?” Note that this question does not include the term LOPA. We do not use LOPA during a HAZOP (unless clients make us) and yet we identify most of the SIFs and we set the needed SIL at that time (no numbers; no other analysis). We do the same as we discuss …
Read MoreWhen to do LOPA – for high severity or for high confusion?
Though consequence severity can (and is) used to decide when a LOPA is needed, the Best trigger for doing a LOPA is when the HAZOP team is confused. More than likely the HAZOP team is Not confused even for high severity. For instance, we were on a high severity ($100,000,000 loss potential, multiple death) consequence today in our HAZOP (Crude …
Read MoreEmbed SIL Determination with PHA/HAZOPs – Part II
There is essentially No change to how we lead HAZOPs when discussing SIL; SIL is just one of the available safeguards (exsiting or future). We do not risk rank in the meetings either; qualitative judgement is as good or better than risk ranking anyway due to the extremely large standard deviations of failure rates data for causes and safeguards. It …
Read MoreEmbed SIL determination within the PHA/HAZOP
We do not recommend a separate SIL assessment “session,” since it is already imbedded in the brainstorming during the PHA/HAZOP. In summary, we identify the need for SIF (if SIF is the right chose of protection layer for the scenario) during a PHA/HAZOP for each scenario disucssed (more than 90% of the scenarios do not need a SIF) and we …
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